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Tuesday, November 02, 2004

 

Election 2004, AM November 2nd-AM November 3rd

It is mid-afternoon on the Pacific Coast.

Too early to arrive at any conclusion but after being up most of the morning there were significant drops in both the Dow and Nasdaq before the stock markets closed. The reason? Reports on the Internet that Kerry was ahead in key swing states! Reuters News Agency reported just past 3:40 EST that exit polls pointed to strong support for Kerry in Ohio and Florida.

Good news indeed if the reports are true. In recent days we have been reading about the newly registered, first-time voters and the uncertainty about their positions. Apparently, the deluge of polls leading to November 2nd never really got a handle on this large block of voters. The pundits were flummoxed, or so it appears.

I'm refraining from thinking about a Kerry Victory, but this is what I wrote in my October 7th post: "Maybe, just maybe, the president is taking the gullibility of the voting public a bit too much for granted." We shall see.

4:40 PM Pacific Coast

Polls in some states have closed and many others are approaching the deadline. The numbers are encouraging. Unexpectedly so. How I would love to see the swaggering, smirking hypocrite from Texas and his mean, rapacious gang depart from Washington.

9:05 PM Eastern

Reports indicate Florida going to Bush.

Bad for Kerry. He must win Pennsylvania,Wisconsin and Ohio. The polls closed in Ohio hours ago but results have not yet been announced. Pennsylvania voters split between supporters of gun rights and "moral values" (Bush) and those concerned with the war in Iraq and health care (Kerry). Although New Hampshire means only 4 electoral college votes, they are important if Bush and Kerry end up closely splitting the rest of the total.

CNN's numbers based on exit polls show that more women voted for Kerry than for the president. This is contrary to recent polls which indicated strong support for Bush among women voters!

9:44 PM Eastern

NBC reported problems with counting of absentee ballots in Florida. Repeat of 2000? It must not be allowed to happen.

The talking heads are discussing Bush's support in the heartland. Former senator Bob Kerrey (Nebraska) commented about what the Democrats had to do to win in those states: Come out against abortion (women's right to choose). He said that the issue was too important for majority of Democrats to compromise on.

1:30 AM Eastern November 3, 2004

There is a saying "It is not over till the Fat Lady sings". Well, the Fat Lady has not sang yet but the announcement that Ohio has gone to Bush means that it is over.

Postscript November 3, 2004

Shortly after 11:00 AM Eastern, John Kerry called President Bush to concede. Final count of Electoral College votes: Bush 254 Kerry 252.

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"The will of the mass of the people must prevail."
----Alcuin (735-804),in a letter to Charlemagne

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